Prediction surface

Tell me what happens next, and what to do about it.

The tape desk, the hub exchange board and the corridor pricing ledger each reported a table of what had already happened. Folded into this one surface they answer the only question a treasury asks: how long will this take, what will it cost, what can move against me, and what should I do first. Every number carries a p50, a p90, the drivers behind it and the manual-desk comparator — and the three reporting desks now live behind the forecast, as evidence for it rather than as work of their own.

Forecast · not a report

Release: every modelled outcome is inside tolerance.

Reliance Industries → Singapore · ₹475 cr · SGD — tape connecting

Indian party

Audited net worth ₹5,66,235 cr · FY 2025-26 (year ended 31 March 2026) · commitment outstanding ₹5,90,994 cr

Destination hub

Ticket ₹475 crEvidence pack 78%

Clearance

This packet will sit for about 21.9 minutes — evidence, not the corridor, is the delay.

Watch

p50

21.9 min

p90

38.3 min

Manual desk

28.0 d

Recommended action

Close the 3 open evidence items before release.

Each missing document converts an engine-cleared check into an officer-signed one, which is the only step measured in hours.

Then → Clearance falls to roughly 11.8 minutes.

Evidence pack: 78% complete
Route: ODI automatic
Section 195: Chargeability leg in scope
Filer history: Known filer

Model confidence 86%

All-in cost

The investment corridor models 16.53 bps in bank costs; income withholding is assessed separately.

Watch

p50

16.53 bps

p90

27.43 bps

Manual desk

44.53 bps

Recommended action

Put the ticket to a second AD bank and quote 8 bps.

A ₹475 crore ticket at 14 bps carries ₹6.7 lakh of spread — the rail's observed floor for this corridor is materially tighter.

Then → All-in drops to roughly 10.53 bps on the same statutory route.

AD Category-1 margin: 14 bps
Correspondent + cable: ₹3,481 (0.01 bps)
Investment principal withholding: No generic deduction; income assessed separately
Ticket: ₹475 cr

Model confidence 91%

FX drift

The unhedged window on this ticket risks about ₹1.8 crore at 95% confidence.

Watch

p50

0.74 ₹ cr

p90

1.8 ₹ cr

Manual desk

4.32 ₹ cr

Recommended action

Book a same-day forward on SGD for the full ticket before release.

The approval leg holds the exposure open across sessions, and the modelled tail exceeds the corridor's entire fee stack.

Then → Residual exposure falls to roughly ₹0.22 crore of basis.

Settlement currency: SGD
Assumed vol: 5.2% annualised
Exposure window: 0.5 trading days
Drift since capture: no stamped reference

Model confidence 86%

Query risk

A 21.6% chance of a regulator query — and a query resets the clock, not the step.

Watch

p50

21.6 %

p90

30.3 %

Manual desk

41.1 %

Recommended action

Run the pre-flight evidence tracker and attach the valuation certificate and UBO chart before release.

Those two artefacts account for most observed queries on this corridor and route combination.

Then → Query probability falls to about 3%.

Evidence gap: 22%
Route: ODI
TRC / Form 10F: Required and validated on the ledger
Jurisdiction: Singapore — DTAA + LOB

Model confidence 88%

Statutory headroom

After this ticket the entity stands at 26.1% of its statutory ceiling, with ₹1673471 crore left.

Clear

p50

26.1 % of ceiling

p90

29.2 % of ceiling

Manual desk

26.1 % of ceiling

Recommended action

Proceed on the automatic route.

Commitment after this ticket remains inside the ceiling tested against the last audited balance sheet.

Then → ₹1673471 crore of headroom remains for the rest of the financial year.

Audited net worth: ₹5,66,235 cr
Ceiling: 400% — ₹22,64,940 cr
Commitment after this: ₹5,91,469 cr
Basis: FEM (Overseas Investment) Rules, 2022 — Rule 7 / Rule 13

Model confidence 95%

Priced off the same live tape that stamps the ledger — tape connecting.

Open the priced ledger

Currency intelligence · AI-powered

An outlook. A next move. The evidence.

Provider rate unavailable

Connecting to provider

CurrencyOPI budget · ₹ croreOutlook horizon

Conditional planning scenarios, not calibrated probabilities or investment advice. Provider rates may be daily reference composites, not executable tick prices. No synthetic history or simulated ticks enter this agent. OPI requires security eligibility, headroom and AD-bank review; nothing is invested automatically. Translation excludes asset returns, fees, tax and hedge carry. AI requests use workspace credits.

The tape these forecasts are priced on

Tape status

Syncing

Anchor

—

Desk open since

—

SGD/INR

Singapore Dollar

₹65.3595

▬ 0.0000 · session +0.000%

Intraday walk since this desk opened — 0 prints

Session high

₹65.3595

Session low

₹65.3595

475 cr buys

SGD 7,26,75,000

Notional (INR crore)

SGD/INR · 5-year movement · live tail

Singapore Dollar (SGD) against the Indian Rupee — settles 1 of the 52 hubs

Reading

₹65.359

Live print

5Y move

+14.9%

5Y high

₹68.19

5Y low

₹53.95

Annualised vol

6.9%

In plain words — the curve shows how many rupees one SGD has cost over the window. The pulsing dot on the right is the live streaming print; the treasury desk prices every action off that same print. History is a modelled prototype series anchored to the live spot, not a vendor tape.

Live tape — every settlement currency on the rail

Currency	INR per unit	Tick	Hubs settling in it
EUR Euro	₹94.3396	▬ 0.0000	11 · Luxembourg, Amsterdam, Dublin, Frankfurt …
USD US Dollar	₹86.9565	▬ 0.0000	5 · New York, GIFT IFSC, Chicago, San Francisco …
AED UAE Dirham	₹23.6967	▬ 0.0000	2 · Dubai (DIFC), Abu Dhabi (ADGM)
CHF Swiss Franc	₹102.0408	▬ 0.0000	2 · Zurich, Geneva
SGD Singapore Dollar	₹65.3595	▬ 0.0000	1 · Singapore
GBP Pound Sterling	₹112.3596	▬ 0.0000	1 · London
HKD Hong Kong Dollar	₹11.1732	▬ 0.0000	1 · Hong Kong
JPY Japanese Yen	₹0.5747	▬ 0.0000	1 · Tokyo
CNY Chinese Yuan	₹12.0627	▬ 0.0000	1 · Shanghai
KRW Korean Won	₹0.0641	▬ 0.0000	1 · Seoul
AUD Australian Dollar	₹56.4972	▬ 0.0000	1 · Sydney
CAD Canadian Dollar	₹62.8931	▬ 0.0000	1 · Toronto
SEK Swedish Krona	₹8.8496	▬ 0.0000	1 · Stockholm
NOK Norwegian Krone	₹8.2645	▬ 0.0000	1 · Oslo
DKK Danish Krone	₹12.6582	▬ 0.0000	1 · Copenhagen
PLN Polish Zloty	₹22.2222	▬ 0.0000	1 · Warsaw
ILS Israeli Shekel	₹23.753	▬ 0.0000	1 · Tel Aviv
SAR Saudi Riyal	₹23.2019	▬ 0.0000	1 · Riyadh
QAR Qatari Riyal	₹23.9234	▬ 0.0000	1 · Doha
BHD Bahraini Dinar	₹232.5581	▬ 0.0000	1 · Manama
OMR Omani Rial	₹227.2727	▬ 0.0000	1 · Muscat
KES Kenyan Shilling	₹0.6711	▬ 0.0000	1 · Nairobi
ZAR South African Rand	₹4.8309	▬ 0.0000	1 · Johannesburg
NGN Nigerian Naira	₹0.0575	▬ 0.0000	1 · Lagos
EGP Egyptian Pound	₹1.7857	▬ 0.0000	1 · Cairo
MUR Mauritian Rupee	₹1.8868	▬ 0.0000	1 · Mauritius
BRL Brazilian Real	₹16.129	▬ 0.0000	1 · São Paulo
MXN Mexican Peso	₹4.6948	▬ 0.0000	1 · Mexico City
CLP Chilean Peso	₹0.0901	▬ 0.0000	1 · Santiago
COP Colombian Peso	₹0.0216	▬ 0.0000	1 · Bogotá
THB Thai Baht	₹2.5641	▬ 0.0000	1 · Bangkok
MYR Malaysian Ringgit	₹19.6078	▬ 0.0000	1 · Kuala Lumpur
IDR Indonesian Rupiah	₹0.0053	▬ 0.0000	1 · Jakarta
VND Vietnamese Dong	₹0.0034	▬ 0.0000	1 · Ho Chi Minh City
PHP Philippine Peso	₹1.5152	▬ 0.0000	1 · Manila
LKR Sri Lankan Rupee	₹0.2899	▬ 0.0000	1 · Colombo

Hub movement — all 52 corridors on the current print

Qwen · reasoning

Statutory reasoning model reads the rule and the filing together, and writes the conclusion with the rule quoted.

LangChain · orchestration

Chains the retrieval, tool calls and checks in a fixed order so every filing is examined the same way.

Alibaba Cloud · compute

Runs the heavy document and screening workloads in an India-resident region.

Federated ledger

Each result is hash-chained into a block every regulator node holds a copy of.

Human desk

A named officer signs this off. The machine only prepares the file.

Ready list →Your to-do matrix, live Proof desk →Side-by-side vs the incumbents Corporate application desk →File the route and documents Automatic vs Approval routes →Intake, 3D execution, evidence AD bank processing →Bank rail, live tape Regulator approval desk →Six-regulator window Supervisor ledger →Read-only, append-only replay Section 195 engine →Royalty/FTS, TRC, 15CA/15CB Case file →Audit timeline and money pipeline Security theatre →Breach containment, live GIFT IFSC desk →Company in, hub out Mechanism matrix →Layer-by-layer build